Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.715460 0.818775 0.930860 1.061373 1.209054 1.370858 1.561458
2025-01-26 0.584403 0.730359 0.901995 1.118216 1.382810 1.695506 2.092521
2025-02-02 0.490888 0.665185 0.885811 1.184302 1.576195 2.071630 2.743753
2025-02-09 0.401826 0.587443 0.839119 1.202890 1.712395 2.397353 3.384070
2025-02-16 0.329949 0.517943 0.789723 1.207369 1.828171 2.710926 4.053757
2025-02-23 0.274954 0.461369 0.747469 1.212790 1.943354 3.036856 4.784685
2025-03-02 0.231102 0.412917 0.708047 1.214131 2.049991 3.361586 5.555250
2025-03-09 0.200202 0.379312 0.685606 1.237169 2.191581 3.755254 6.480681
2025-03-16 0.170088 0.341008 0.648302 1.228150 2.276914 4.066723 7.309830
2025-03-23 0.150989 0.319032 0.635468 1.258806 2.432839 4.512291 8.415347
2025-03-30 0.129697 0.288603 0.601746 1.245091 2.505515 4.819792 9.313810
2025-04-06 0.115682 0.270177 0.587793 1.266271 2.644765 5.260937 10.501837
2025-04-13 0.098583 0.242162 0.550614 1.236649 2.683713 5.524801 11.400339
2025-04-20 0.090456 0.232637 0.550507 1.283705 2.883198 6.120357 13.007775
2025-04-27 0.084357 0.226679 0.557174 1.346273 3.123338 6.824118 14.910515
2025-05-04 0.075545 0.212319 0.542463 1.358874 3.257567 7.327221 16.461029
2025-05-11 0.067123 0.197213 0.523434 1.358421 3.362404 7.780054 17.956382
2025-05-18 0.059980 0.184013 0.506775 1.360891 3.473883 8.259095 19.560271
2025-05-25 0.053598 0.171567 0.489879 1.360039 3.577082 8.730741 21.198629
2025-06-01 0.049084 0.163564 0.483207 1.384123 3.743781 9.364384 23.270397
2025-06-08 0.043703 0.151780 0.464306 1.373080 3.821143 9.798401 24.926399
2025-06-15 0.040550 0.146276 0.461970 1.406463 4.016574 10.534057 27.371535
2025-06-22 0.036128 0.135663 0.443090 1.390792 4.080812 10.957094 29.105829